Wednesday, January 5, 2022

Risks and Predictions 2022


 Life is Risky… Let’s Make it Riskier??


When the calendar turns a lot of folks asks other folks they call “experts” or prognosticators to predict what will happen in the new year.  This blog is not the lost journal of Nostra Dani’s  and Yogi… once quipped “it’s hard to predict things especially the future.”  In that spirit  the next few days are going to provide some facts to consider when you are making resolutions or predictions for the coming year….or trying to puzzle through  the smooth saying  that comes along with the launch of 2022.  You see… we make guesses or form beliefs  without knowing  some facts and there is a responsibility. (This blog is grabbing ahold of) to provide some facts to help our fellow humans as we ache for security  in taking risks based upon what can be known and what can’t.    


For the next three days  we are going to present and reflect on a few of the known knowns  so be informed and amazed.


Odds are…. 


Today there will be a drawing for the 7th largest lottery total  ever recorded.  We state ever recorded because maybe Noah held a lottery to select the two of each animal to make the arc?  So the yellow bellied sap sucker. Made it and the purple bellied  sap sucker… well not this round.  Okay well the odds of winning  the lottery today are 292.6 million to one.  So that’s a big number and yet a lot of folks are taking that chance while if you ask folks if they think they’ll get killed by a lightning strike they won’t spend a dollar to avoid that.  The odds that you get killed by a lightning strike are  a bit shy of 7 million to one.  So put on your rubber suit because the chance of the bolt streaking down are 41  times as likely  as you drinking umbrella drinks on your own private  island next week because your pet cat’s birthday  fell on the 21st and thus was the power ball number you had to play.  


Will world travel and commerce get straightened out. In the coming year?   


Well let’s consider  some of the most planned for and controlled travel ever.  The Apollo mission to the moon.  So these three guys  get into a modified gulfstream with the computing power of a hand held thermometer  and get strapped to a tube of explosives.  They make a round trip to the moon where everything including their  bladder output is monitored.  Upon returning —here’s comes the thing we all need to know….  These three astronauts  had to go through U. S. Customs.  


Is international travel going to get smoother this year?  fat chance Sputnik.  


Will Supply chain issues get resolved?


first of all.most people have problems understanding  a bicycle chain let alone the intricacies  of financial  and Human Resources  involved in most major manufacturing and  merchandise delivery systems.  Many products are multifaceted multinational  ordeals.  A complete  discussion  of the greed and gore of supply chain matters is beyond the scope of this blog and no matter what facts are presented a lot of folks  might stumble  the vague references to correlations versus causations.  /so let’s simplify … If you think you are  an expert on import/export… did you know???? 


Saudi Arabia imports camels from Australia?  so… beforewestartpointing fingers at who creates the biggest  headache with complex economic things….having. To do with supply and demand… ponder. The fact that somewhere. There is  a kangaroo wondering why  she’s waiting for food  while  a sheik  orders a two-humper.



So …that’s enough for one day… however if we are going to believe in some things that have strange odds  maybe we should consider doing things that might change  our lives with a little more courage.  After all people assume a lot and you don’t have to worry about  them because they don’t really know all there is to be known let alone all that cannot t present  be known.  We’ll address this more in the next couple days…and I predict we’ll talk about it in this blog a whole bunch  in 2022.  


…oh and there’s a 100% chance  we’ll keep  working on seeking peace and joy…. Rock on.  

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